Monday, October 15, 2007

The world would soon forget?


“The lesson so far is that sanctions alone are not enough,” said Michael Green, an expert on Asia at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington. “They must be part of a larger strategy, and it’s not clear yet that the United States or the international community is prepared to put that effort into the diplomatic side.”

He added: “There is always the danger that the indignation you see could fade. The junta may have calculated that this is like pulling a scab off. A brief pain, but the world would soon forget.”
...
Already China has said it considers the protests in Myanmar an internal affair, and it insisted on muting the language of a United Nations Security Council resolution last week that “strongly deplores” the crackdown.
Although China has joined international criticism of the violence, a Foreign Ministry spokesman in Beijing told reporters last week, “Sanctions or pressure will not help to solve the issue in Myanmar.”
India, which has dropped its condemnation of Myanmar in favor of economic competition there with China, sent its strongest signal not through words but through actions. At the height of the protests, India’s oil minister traveled to Myanmar to sign a deal to explore for offshore gas.
Myanmar’s neighbors in Southeast Asia, who have been abandoning their policy of “non-interference” in favor of strong words, issued a statement saying they were repulsed and appalled by the use of violence against demonstrators. But none has made a move to cut back on extensive economic ties with Myanmar.
...
Excerpts from U.N. Envoy Says Myanmar Must Halt Arrests

In other Burma news: Rolls-Royce Pull Out of Burma

“We welcome the fact that Rolls-Royce have finally done the decent thing, and cut their ties with this brutal regime,” said Myo Thein, Campaigns Officer at Burma Campaign UK. “Companies should not be helping to fund a regime that slaughters its own population. We call on companies such as Total Oil, Chevron, Daewoo, Orient Express and Hutchison Whampoa, owners of 3 Mobile, to follow their example.”Rolls-Royce featured on the ‘Dirty List’ of companies directly or indirectly funding the regime in Burma. The full list can be viewed at: http://www.burmacampaign.org.uk/dirty_list/dirty_list.php Rolls Royce have now been removed from the list.

Breaking News UPDATE via Edgar: CHOKEPOINT!The Geopolitical Stakes of the Saffron Revolution
Still not sure what to make of this perspective.

10 comments:

Akubi said...

I'll be murst to comment on my award winning blog. OT, but (why not?) there's a NSFW ode to The Waste Land at Zillow Book.

Ogg the Caveman said...

Other than sanctions and military force, which whatever you think of it isn't really an option for the US at the moment, what else is there? Diplomatic pressure only works if the country's government cares about world opinion or if real consequences can be brought to bear, and I don't see how either is the case here.

Sorry to be so pessimistic, but I just don't see a whole lot of solutions at the moment.

Ogg the Caveman said...

I'll check out ZB later, but I'm going to guess that your post there is more approachable than The Waste Land.

Anonymous said...

Hi akubi!

You had to know it was outside influences that got the unrest started. Read and prepare to be outraged.

Akubi said...

@Ogg,
I don't either, but everyone has such a short attention span these days, I'm concerned that the junta may be correct in their assumption.
@Edgar,
Hmmm, that is disconcerting, but has the U.S. really done anything beyond blowing a lot of hot air as usual? I'll need to further research that perspective.
In the mean time, the other question that comes to mind is Chevron...The Bush Admin has been quite predictable in their pro-oil concerns, so given the embarrassing arrangement Chevron has in Burma why would they switch gears? Exxon pressure? I don't know. Just wondering.

Mitchell said...

Edgar's link is temporarily not working, but you can still find Engdahl's essay at Asia Times, and elsewhere.

I do not think that even Engdahl says that "it was outside influences that got the unrest started". Price rises are always good for an angry mob, especially in a place where the state owns everything. And people do not need the US State Department's go-ahead before they start using digital media to smuggle out words and images of a crackdown. (I note that he overlooked "Blog about a blog about a blog about a blog", in his catalog of made-in-USA subversive institutions.)

There are a few other potentially misleading items I can see. The IMF today is far from being the government-toppling economic enforcer it was in Indonesia ten years ago. And "Malabar 07" only got underway four weeks after the demonstrations started. So I would be very cautious in adopting Engdahl's interpretation of world events. (For a further example, go to his website and see his "ex peak oil" essay, especially his remarks about Russian "abiotic oil" expertise being the prize in the Yukos affair.)

Akubi said...

@Mitchell,
Yes, something just didn't quite add up. Your comment is worthy of a new post!

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